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2 points by blackbear 2232 days ago | link | parent

this is garbage. the partial autocorrelation clearly shows that successive values are highly correlated, and the model was trained to predict the price at time t using the price at time t-1: the model is basically learning to add a constant to its only input value. just look at the predictions on the test set


1 point by viktoriia_shu 2224 days ago | link

As can be seen from PAC, lookback should be 1, larger values give worst result, but perhaps the model remains more stable to overfittting. There is no constant term.

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